The San Francisco Dons (20-6, 10-3 WCC) visit the Gonzaga Bulldogs (18-7, 9-3) Thursday at McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Dons have pieced together a 4-game win streak. They are in second place in the West Coast Conference, 2 games back of Saint Mary’s and a half-game ahead of the Bulldogs.
San Francisco picked up a 72-66 win at Loyola Marymount Saturday, covering as a 3.5-point favorite with the Over (137.5) coming in. The Dons are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 games and 5-2 across the previous 7.
Gonzaga won 78-61 at Pacific Saturday, but failed to cover as a 25-point favorite with the Under (149.5) cashing. The Zags have won their past 2 games by an average of 18.5 points. However, they are 0-3 ATS in the past 3 outings, while going 3-14 ATS in the past 17. The Under has hit in each of the previous 3 outings, too.
San Francisco has lost 30 in a row to Gonzaga, last winning 66-65 at home Feb. 18, 2012. These teams have met 96 times with Gonzaga leading the series 74-22. The Zags are 53-4 SU against the Dons under coach Mark Few. They have won 35 straight at home against USF, too, including 20-0 at the McCarthey Athletic Center.
Dons F Ndewedo Newbury (leg) carries a questionable tag into this game. He hasn’t played since suffering a non-contact injury in a neutral floor game in Milwaukee against Loyola-Chicago. He is fifth on the team with 8.4 points per game, while pulling down 4.3 rebounds per game.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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San Francisco at Gonzaga odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:12 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): San Francisco +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Gonzaga -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
Against the spread: San Francisco +13.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -13.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
San Francisco at Gonzaga picks and predictions
Prediction
Gonzaga 79, San Francisco 72
Moneyline
Gonzaga (-1200) will cost 12 times the potential return, which is a very risky proposition given how inconsistent the Zags have been this season. Few’s team might need to win the WCC Tournament to get into the Big Dance this season. That’s how off this team has been compared to the past.
While the Bulldogs have dominated San Francisco (+725), this could be the season the Dons rise up and finally end that ugly series skid.
But I’m going to AVOID and look to the spread instead.
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Against the spread
SAN FRANCISCO +13.5 (-105) is a strong play catching double digits as Gonzaga has struggled against the number this season, going 9-16 ATS.
As mentioned, the Dons have covered 3 in a row and 5 of the past 7 games. The ‘Zags have won just 4 of the past 7 outings outright, while going 2-7 ATS in the past 9 games and 3-14 ATS across the previous 17. They’re 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games as a double-digit favorite, too, so the Dons are a strong play catching all of these points.
Over/Under
UNDER 153.5 (-110) is worth a look in this WCC battle in Spokane.
The Under has cleared in 3 in a row for Gonzaga, while the Under has cashed at a 5-3 clip in the past 8 games for USF. Plus, the Under has a slight 4-3 edge in the past 7 meetings in this series.
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