The San Francisco Giants (78-79) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (87-70) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Chase Field at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: D-backs lead 6-5
The Giants have been eliminated from postseason contention, but they must have missed the memo. They’ve won 4 in a row, sweeping a 3-game series at the Kansas City Royals and taking Tuesday’s opener from the Diamondbacks 6-3. 3B Matt Chapman went 2-for-4 with a triple, his 27th homer and 3 RBIs, while LF Michael Conforto finished 2-for-5 with a double, his 19th HR and 1 RBI.
The D-backs are 1½ games up on the Atlanta Braves for the final Wild Card spot. They have dropped 2 in a row after winning 4 straight. Over his last 27 games, OF Corbin Carroll is hitting .262 with 7 homers and 20 RBIs while stealing 11 bags.
Giants at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Webb (12-10, 3.58 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through an NL-best 198 2/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-3 loss at Baltimore Orioles Thursday
Career vs. D-backs: 6-3, 2.51 ERA (68 IP, 19 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 11 starts
2024 vs. D-backs: 1 home start, win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-0 shutout April 18
Last 5 starts vs. D-Backs: 3-1, 2.38 ERA (34 IP, 9 ER), 0.94 WHIP
Pfaadt (10-9, 4.66 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 173 2/3 innings.
Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 5-1 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday
Career Giants: 0-1, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.58 WHIP, 12 K in 2 starts — both last season
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Giants at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 4:08 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Giants at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Giants 4
Moneyline
Wait, did you see that last start line from Pfaadt? Outside of having the most fun last name in baseball, that was quite impressive: 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 12 K against the NL Central-champion Brewers. Before that, however, he gave up 29 earned runs in 29 innings across his last 6 starts.
While I like the D-backs here, I don’t trust them enough to risk -150 on them.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the D-backs’ 6 wins against the Giants this season, 5 were by multiple runs. Webb has had some issues on the bump lately as well, allowing 3+ ER in 5 straight starts.
TAKE DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
It’s slated to be 101 degrees at first pitch with a light, 2-mph breeze coming in from left-center. The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings. Each team is 5-4-1 O/U in their last 10.
I like OVER 8 (-115).
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